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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky will meet US President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris in Washington on Thursday. Leon Neal/Getty Images
CNN
窶�
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky窶冱 visit to the White House on Thursday could be his final chance to convince a receptive American president of his country窶冱 war aims.
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The precise details of the 窶忻ictory plan窶� Zelensky plans to present in separate meetings to President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris are unknown, having been closely held until they are presented to the American leaders.

But according to people briefed on its broad contours, the plan reflects the Ukrainian leader窶冱 urgent appeals for more immediate help countering Russia窶冱 invasion. Zelensky is also poised to push for long-term security guarantees that could withstand changes in American leadership ahead of what is widely expected to be a close presidential election between Harris and former President Donald Trump.

The plan, people familiar with it said, acts as Zelensky窶冱 response to growing war weariness even among his staunchest of western allies. It will make the case that Ukraine can still win 窶� and does not need to cede Russian-seized territory for the fighting to end 窶� if enough assistance is rushed in.

That includes again asking permission to fire Western provided long-range weapons deeper into Russian territory, a line Biden once was loathe to cross but which he窶冱 recently appeared more open to as he has come under growing pressure to relent.

Even if Biden decides to allow the long-range fires, it窶冱 unclear whether the change in policy would be announced publicly.

Biden is usually apt to take his time making decisions about providing Ukraine new capabilities. But with November窶冱 election potentially portending a major change in American approach to the war if Trump were to win, Ukrainian officials 窶� and many American ones 窶� believe there is little time to waste.
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Trump has claimed he will be able to 窶徭ettle窶� the war upon taking office and has suggested he窶冤l end US support for Kyiv窶冱 war effort.

窶弋hose cities are gone, they窶决e gone, and we continue to give billions of dollars to a man who refused to make a deal, Zelensky. There was no deal that he could have made that wouldn窶冲 have been better than the situation you have right now. You have a country that has been obliterated, not possible to be rebuilt,窶� Trump said during a campaign speech in Mint Hill, North Carolina, on Wednesday.

Comments like those have lent new weight to Thursday窶冱 Oval Office talks, according to American and European officials, who have described an imperative to surge assistance to Ukraine while Biden is still in office.

As part of Zelensky窶冱 visit, the US is expected to announce a major new security package, thought it will likely delay the shipping of the equipment due to inventory shortages, CNN previously reported according to two US officials. On Wednesday, the US announced a package of $375 million.

The president previewed Zelensky窶冱 visit to the White House a day beforehand, declaring on the margins of the United Nations General Assembly his administration was 窶彭etermined to ensure that Ukraine has what it needs to prevail in fight for survival.窶�
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窶弋omorrow, I will announce a series of actions to accelerate support for Ukraine窶冱 military 窶� but we know Ukraine窶冱 future victory is about more than what happens on the battlefield, it窶冱 also about what Ukrainians do make the most of a free and independent future, which so many have sacrificed so much for,窶� he said.

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■2025年06月16日月曜日 18時56分30秒

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■2025年06月16日月曜日 18時01分18秒

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■2025年06月16日月曜日 17時44分02秒

There窶冱 a 窶枠host hurricane窶� in the forecast. It could help predict a real one
<a href=https://rank-craft.com/reviews/detail.php?id=1044226>ﾐｳﾐｵﾐｹﾑ�ｵﾐｺﾑ� ﾐｿﾐｾﾑﾐｽﾐｾ</a>
A scary-looking weather forecast showing a hurricane hitting the Gulf Coast in the second half of June swirled around social media this week窶巴ut don窶冲 panic.

It窶冱 the season窶冱 first 窶徃host hurricane.窶�

Similar hype plays out every hurricane season, especially at the beginning: A cherry-picked, worst-case-scenario model run goes viral, but more often than not, will never come to fruition.

Unofficially dubbed 窶徃host storms窶� or 窶徃host hurricanes,窶� these tropical systems regularly appear in weather models 窶� computer simulations that help meteorologists forecast future conditions 窶� but never seem to manifest in real life.

The model responsible this week was the Global Forecast System, also known as the GFS or American model, run by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. It窶冱 one of many used by forecasters around the world.

All models have known biases or 窶徠uirks窶� where they tend to overpredict or underpredict certain things. The GFS is known to overpredict tropical storms and hurricanes in longer-term forecasts that look more than a week into the future, which leads to these false alarms. The GFS isn窶冲 alone in this 窶� all models struggle to accurately predict tropical activity that far in advance 窶� but it is notorious for doing so.

For example, the GFS could spit out a prediction for a US hurricane landfall about 10 days from now, only to have that chance completely disappear as the forecast date draws closer. This can occur at any time of the year, but is most frequent during hurricane season 窶� June through November.

It窶冱 exactly what窶冱 been happening over the past week as forecasters keep an eye out for the first storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season.
Why so many ghosts?
No weather forecast model is designed in the exact same way as another, and that窶冱 why each can generate different results with similar data.

The reason the GFS has more false alarms when looking more than a week out than similar models 窶� like Europe窶冱 ECMWF, Canada窶冱 CMC or the United Kingdom窶冱 UKM 窶� is because that窶冱 exactly what it窶冱 programmed to do, according to Alicia Bentley, the global verification project lead of NOAA窶冱 Environmental Modeling Center.

The GFS was built with a 窶忤eak parameterized cumulus convection scheme,窶� according to Bentley. In plain language, that means when the GFS thinks there could be thunderstorms developing in an area where tropical systems are possible 窶� over the oceans 窶� it窶冱 more likely to jump to the conclusion that something tropical will develop than to ignore it.

Other models aren窶冲 built to be quite as sensitive to this phenomenon, and so they don窶冲 show a tropical system until they窶决e more confident the right conditions are in place, which usually happens when the forecast gets closer in time.

The western Caribbean Sea is one of the GFS窶� favorite places to predict a ghost storm. That窶冱 because of the Central American gyre: a large, disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms that rotates over the region and its surrounding water.

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■2025年06月16日月曜日 17時32分38秒

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