私たちの物語 - お金・経済・過去ログ No.73973

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<1479460> �們寳 �罷ｘ�罷ｲ�

■2025年01月19日日曜日 15時55分31秒

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<1479458> ForrestCoels

■2025年01月19日日曜日 15時12分54秒

What窶冱 on board this flight
Blue Origin had planned to launch a pair of Mars-bound satellites on behalf of NASA for the first flight of New Glenn.

But delays with the rocket窶冱 development prompted the space agency to change course, moving that flight to this spring at the earliest. So for this inaugural flight, Blue Origin opted to instead fly a 窶彭emonstrator窶� that will test technology needed for the company窶冱 proposed Blue Ring spacecraft 窶� which will aim to serve as a sort of in-space rideshare vehicle, dragging satellites deeper into space when needed.
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The demonstrator on this New Glenn flight will remain aboard the rocket for the entire six-hour flight, Blue Origin said, and it will validate 窶彡ommunications capabilities from orbit to ground窶� as well as 窶徼est its in-space telemetry, tracking and command hardware, and ground-based radiometric tracking.窶�

The Blue Ring Pathfinder demonstrator is part of a deal Blue Origin inked with the US Department of Defense窶冱 Defense Innovation Unit.
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Why Blue Origin wants to reuse rockets
Similar to SpaceX, Blue Origin is aiming to recover and refly its first-stage rocket boosters in a bid to make launches less expensive.

窶彝eusability is integral to radically reducing cost-per-launch,窶� the company said in a recent news release, using the same oft-repeated sentiment that SpaceX has touted since it began landing rocket boosters in 2015.
Bezos, however, has acknowledged the importance of reusing rocket parts since he founded the company in 2000 窶� two years before Musk established SpaceX. And the company has already developed its suborbital New Shepard tourism rocket to be reusable.
窶廬t窶冱 not a copy cat game,窶� Henry said. 窶廝lue Origin has been pursuing reusable vehicles since before reusable vehicles were cool. Now it窶冱 much more of a mainstream idea (because of SpaceX). The difference is that it窶冱 taken Blue Origin so much longer to get to orbit.窶�

If successful, returning the New Glenn rocket booster for a safe landing will be a stunning feat. After expending most of its fuel to propel the rocket窶冱 upper stage to space, the first-stage booster will need to make a clean separation. The booster must then maneuver with pinpoint guidance and reignite its engines with precision timing to avoid crashing into the ocean or the Jacklyn recovery platform.

<1479457> Kennethmew

■2025年01月19日日曜日 15時08分09秒

Summary
Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have had a fiery 90-minute debate in Philadelphia - their first of the 2024 US presidential election
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After shaking hands - it was the first time they had met - the pair debated policy before moving onto more personal attacks

Harris said people leave Trump rallies early "out of exhaustion and boredom" - he said people don't go to hers in the first place
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Trump criticised Harris's record on immigration and the border, and also her shifting policy positions - Harris blamed him for "Trump abortion bans" and for the 6 January attacks on the US Capitol

Snap polls suggest Harris won the debate, but Trump says afterwards that she "lost very badly"

With the election taking place on 5 November, Harris is slightly ahead in national opinion polls - but polls are very tight in key battleground states

Shortly after the debate, Taylor Swift endorsed Harris on Instagram, calling her a ''gifted leader''

<1479456> Brandonutems

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<1479453> HermanErolf

■2025年01月19日日曜日 14時24分55秒

A year ago today, things went from bad to worse for Boeing
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At 5 p.m. PT on January 5, 2024, Boeing seemed like a company on the upswing. It didn窶冲 last. Minutes later, a near-tragedy set off a full year of problems.

As Alaska Airlines flight 1282 climbed to 16,000 feet in its departure from Portland, Oregon, a door plug blew out near the rear of the plane, leaving a gaping hole in the fuselage. Phones and clothing were ripped away from passengers and sent hurtling into the night sky. Oxygen masks dropped, and the rush of air twisted seats next to the hole toward the opening.
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Fortunately, those were among the few empty seats on the flight, and the crew got the plane on the ground without any serious injuries. The incident could have been far worse 窶� even a fatal crash.

Not much has gone right for Boeing ever since. The company has had one misstep after another, ranging from embarrassing to horrifying. And many of the problems are poised to extend into 2025 and perhaps beyond.

The problems were capped by another Boeing crash in South Korea that killed 179 people on December 29 in what was in the year窶冱 worst aviation disaster. The cause of the crash of a 15-year old Boeing jet flown by Korean discount carrier Jeju Air is still under investigation, and it is quite possible that Boeing will not be found liable for anything that led to the tragedy.
But unlike the Jeju crash, most of the problems of the last 12 months have clearly been Boeing窶冱 fault.

And 2024 was the sixth straight year of serious problems for the once proud, now embattled company, starting with the 20-month grounding of its best selling plane, the 737 Max, following two fatal crashes in late 2018 and early 2019, which killed 346 people.

Still the outlook for 2024 right before the Alaska Air incident had been somewhat promising. The company had just achieved the best sales month in its history in December 2023, capping its strongest sales year since 2018.

It was believed to be on the verge of getting Federal Aviation Administration approval for two new models, the 737 Max 7 and Max 10, with airline customers eager to take delivery. Approvals and deliveries of its next generation widebody, the 777X, were believed to be close behind. Its production rate had been climbing and there were hopes that it could be on the verge of returning to profitability for the first time since 2018.

<1479452> Harryitalf

■2025年01月19日日曜日 14時20分34秒

Most plane crashes are 窶�survivable窶�
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First, the good news. 窶弋he vast majority of aircraft accidents are survivable, and the majority of people in accidents survive,窶� says Galea. Since 1988, aircraft 窶� and the seats inside them 窶� must be built to withstand an impact of up to 16G, or g-force up to 16 times the force of gravity. That means, he says, that in most incidents, 窶彿t窶冱 possible to survive the trauma of the impact of the crash.窶�

For instance, he classes the initial Jeju Air incident as survivable 窶� an assumed bird strike, engine loss and belly landing on the runway, without functioning landing gear. 窶廩ad it not smashed into the concrete reinforced obstacle at the end of the runway, it窶冱 quite possible the majority, if not everyone, could have survived,窶� he says.

The Azerbaijan Airlines crash, on the other hand, he classes as a non-survivable accident, and calls it a 窶徇iracle窶� that anyone made it out alive.
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Most aircraft involved in accidents, however, are not 窶� as suspicion is growing over the Azerbaijan crash 窶� shot out of the sky.

And with modern planes built to withstand impacts and slow the spread of fire, Galea puts the chances of surviving a 窶徭urvivable窶� accident at at least 90%.

Instead, he says, what makes the difference between life and death in most modern accidents is how fast passengers can evacuate.

Aircraft today must show that they can be evacuated in 90 seconds in order to gain certification. But a theoretical evacuation 窶� practiced with volunteers at the manufacturers窶� premises 窶� is very different from the reality of a panicked public onboard a jet that has just crash-landed.
Galea, an evacuation expert, has conducted research for the UK窶冱 Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) looking at the most 窶徭urvivable窶� seats on a plane. His landmark research, conducted over several years in the early 2000s, looked at how passengers and crew behaved during a post-crash evacuation, rather than looking at the crashes themselves. By compiling data from 1,917 passengers and 155 crew involved in 105 accidents from 1977 to 1999, his team created a database of human behavior around plane crashes.

His analysis of which exits passengers actually used 窶徭hattered many myths about aircraft evacuation,窶� he says. 窶弃rior to my study, it was believed that passengers tend to use their boarding exit because it was the most familiar, and that passengers tend to go forward. My analysis of the data demonstrated that none of these myths were supported by the evidence.窶�

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■2025年01月19日日曜日 14時11分36秒

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<1479450> JaredTok

■2025年01月19日日曜日 13時57分21秒

What窶冱 on board this flight
Blue Origin had planned to launch a pair of Mars-bound satellites on behalf of NASA for the first flight of New Glenn.

But delays with the rocket窶冱 development prompted the space agency to change course, moving that flight to this spring at the earliest. So for this inaugural flight, Blue Origin opted to instead fly a 窶彭emonstrator窶� that will test technology needed for the company窶冱 proposed Blue Ring spacecraft 窶� which will aim to serve as a sort of in-space rideshare vehicle, dragging satellites deeper into space when needed.
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The demonstrator on this New Glenn flight will remain aboard the rocket for the entire six-hour flight, Blue Origin said, and it will validate 窶彡ommunications capabilities from orbit to ground窶� as well as 窶徼est its in-space telemetry, tracking and command hardware, and ground-based radiometric tracking.窶�

The Blue Ring Pathfinder demonstrator is part of a deal Blue Origin inked with the US Department of Defense窶冱 Defense Innovation Unit.
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Why Blue Origin wants to reuse rockets
Similar to SpaceX, Blue Origin is aiming to recover and refly its first-stage rocket boosters in a bid to make launches less expensive.

窶彝eusability is integral to radically reducing cost-per-launch,窶� the company said in a recent news release, using the same oft-repeated sentiment that SpaceX has touted since it began landing rocket boosters in 2015.
Bezos, however, has acknowledged the importance of reusing rocket parts since he founded the company in 2000 窶� two years before Musk established SpaceX. And the company has already developed its suborbital New Shepard tourism rocket to be reusable.
窶廬t窶冱 not a copy cat game,窶� Henry said. 窶廝lue Origin has been pursuing reusable vehicles since before reusable vehicles were cool. Now it窶冱 much more of a mainstream idea (because of SpaceX). The difference is that it窶冱 taken Blue Origin so much longer to get to orbit.窶�

If successful, returning the New Glenn rocket booster for a safe landing will be a stunning feat. After expending most of its fuel to propel the rocket窶冱 upper stage to space, the first-stage booster will need to make a clean separation. The booster must then maneuver with pinpoint guidance and reignite its engines with precision timing to avoid crashing into the ocean or the Jacklyn recovery platform.

<1479449> Keithfew

■2025年01月19日日曜日 13時50分39秒

What New Glenn will do
In some ways, New Glenn has already made its mark on the launch industry. Blue Origin has for years pitched the rocket to compete with both SpaceX and United Launch Alliance 窶� a joint venture of Boeing and Lockheed Martin that buys engines from Blue Origin 窶� for lucrative military launch contracts.
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The US Space Force selected Blue Origin, ULA and SpaceX in June to compete for $5.6 billion worth of Pentagon contracts for national security missions slated to launch over the next four years.
Blue Origin also has deals with several commercial companies to launch satellites. The contracts include plans to help deploy Amazon窶冱 Kuiper internet satellites and a recently inked deal with AST SpaceMobile to help launch the Midland, Texas-based company窶冱 space-based cellular broadband network.

New Glenn could also be instrumental in building Blue Origin窶冱 planned space station, called Orbital Reef. Blue Origin and it commercial partners, including Sierra Space and Boeing, among others, hope the station will one day provide a new destination for astronauts as the International Space Station is phased out of service.
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New Glenn vs. other powerful rockets
New Glenn packs significant power. Dubbed a 窶徂eavy-lift窶� vehicle, its capabilities lie between SpaceX窶冱 Falcon 9 rocket and the more powerful Falcon Heavy launch vehicle.

SpaceX窶冱 workhorse Falcon 9, for example, can haul up to 22.8 metric tons (50,265 pounds) to space. While New Glenn is capable of carrying about double that mass, it may also be roughly the same price as a Falcon 9: reportedly around $60 million to $70 million per launch.

窶廬 think in order to compete with Falcon 9, you have to go head-to-head or better on price,窶� said Caleb Henry, the director of research at Quilty Space, which provides data and analysis about the space sector.

The question, however, is whether Blue Origin will be able to sustain a competitive price point, Henry added.

Still, one feature that makes New Glenn stand out is its large payload fairing, or nose cone. The component protects the cargo bay and is a whopping 23 feet (7 meters) wide 窶� nearly 6 feet (2 meters) larger than that of SpaceX窶冱 Falcon 9 or Falcon Heavy.

Henry said Blue Origin likely opted to outfit New Glenn with such a large fairing in order to help fulfill Bezos窶� vision of the future.

<1479448> ThomasMog

■2025年01月19日日曜日 13時37分52秒

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<1479447> Dannyrek

■2025年01月19日日曜日 13時35分41秒

A year ago today, things went from bad to worse for Boeing
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At 5 p.m. PT on January 5, 2024, Boeing seemed like a company on the upswing. It didn窶冲 last. Minutes later, a near-tragedy set off a full year of problems.

As Alaska Airlines flight 1282 climbed to 16,000 feet in its departure from Portland, Oregon, a door plug blew out near the rear of the plane, leaving a gaping hole in the fuselage. Phones and clothing were ripped away from passengers and sent hurtling into the night sky. Oxygen masks dropped, and the rush of air twisted seats next to the hole toward the opening.
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Fortunately, those were among the few empty seats on the flight, and the crew got the plane on the ground without any serious injuries. The incident could have been far worse 窶� even a fatal crash.

Not much has gone right for Boeing ever since. The company has had one misstep after another, ranging from embarrassing to horrifying. And many of the problems are poised to extend into 2025 and perhaps beyond.

The problems were capped by another Boeing crash in South Korea that killed 179 people on December 29 in what was in the year窶冱 worst aviation disaster. The cause of the crash of a 15-year old Boeing jet flown by Korean discount carrier Jeju Air is still under investigation, and it is quite possible that Boeing will not be found liable for anything that led to the tragedy.
But unlike the Jeju crash, most of the problems of the last 12 months have clearly been Boeing窶冱 fault.

And 2024 was the sixth straight year of serious problems for the once proud, now embattled company, starting with the 20-month grounding of its best selling plane, the 737 Max, following two fatal crashes in late 2018 and early 2019, which killed 346 people.

Still the outlook for 2024 right before the Alaska Air incident had been somewhat promising. The company had just achieved the best sales month in its history in December 2023, capping its strongest sales year since 2018.

It was believed to be on the verge of getting Federal Aviation Administration approval for two new models, the 737 Max 7 and Max 10, with airline customers eager to take delivery. Approvals and deliveries of its next generation widebody, the 777X, were believed to be close behind. Its production rate had been climbing and there were hopes that it could be on the verge of returning to profitability for the first time since 2018.

<1479446> DonaldMop

■2025年01月19日日曜日 13時33分10秒

Most plane crashes are 窶�survivable窶�
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First, the good news. 窶弋he vast majority of aircraft accidents are survivable, and the majority of people in accidents survive,窶� says Galea. Since 1988, aircraft 窶� and the seats inside them 窶� must be built to withstand an impact of up to 16G, or g-force up to 16 times the force of gravity. That means, he says, that in most incidents, 窶彿t窶冱 possible to survive the trauma of the impact of the crash.窶�

For instance, he classes the initial Jeju Air incident as survivable 窶� an assumed bird strike, engine loss and belly landing on the runway, without functioning landing gear. 窶廩ad it not smashed into the concrete reinforced obstacle at the end of the runway, it窶冱 quite possible the majority, if not everyone, could have survived,窶� he says.

The Azerbaijan Airlines crash, on the other hand, he classes as a non-survivable accident, and calls it a 窶徇iracle窶� that anyone made it out alive.
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Most aircraft involved in accidents, however, are not 窶� as suspicion is growing over the Azerbaijan crash 窶� shot out of the sky.

And with modern planes built to withstand impacts and slow the spread of fire, Galea puts the chances of surviving a 窶徭urvivable窶� accident at at least 90%.

Instead, he says, what makes the difference between life and death in most modern accidents is how fast passengers can evacuate.

Aircraft today must show that they can be evacuated in 90 seconds in order to gain certification. But a theoretical evacuation 窶� practiced with volunteers at the manufacturers窶� premises 窶� is very different from the reality of a panicked public onboard a jet that has just crash-landed.
Galea, an evacuation expert, has conducted research for the UK窶冱 Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) looking at the most 窶徭urvivable窶� seats on a plane. His landmark research, conducted over several years in the early 2000s, looked at how passengers and crew behaved during a post-crash evacuation, rather than looking at the crashes themselves. By compiling data from 1,917 passengers and 155 crew involved in 105 accidents from 1977 to 1999, his team created a database of human behavior around plane crashes.

His analysis of which exits passengers actually used 窶徭hattered many myths about aircraft evacuation,窶� he says. 窶弃rior to my study, it was believed that passengers tend to use their boarding exit because it was the most familiar, and that passengers tend to go forward. My analysis of the data demonstrated that none of these myths were supported by the evidence.窶�

<1479445> GlennKah

■2025年01月19日日曜日 13時15分20秒

On a long-dormant pad in Florida, a rocket that could challenge SpaceX窶冱 dominance is poised to launch
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On a Florida launchpad that has been dormant for almost two decades, a new, roughly 320-foot (98-meter) rocket 窶� developed by Jeff Bezos窶� company Blue Origin 窶� is poised for its maiden flight.

The uncrewed launch vehicle, called New Glenn, will mark Blue Origin窶冱 first attempt to send a rocket to orbit, a feat necessary if the company hopes to chip away at SpaceX窶冱 long-held dominance in the industry.

New Glenn is set to lift off from Cape Canaveral Space Force Station as early as next week.
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The rocket, which stands about as tall as a 30-story building, consists of several parts: The first-stage rocket booster gives the initial thrust at liftoff. Atop the booster is an upper rocket stage that includes a cargo bay protected by a nose cone that will house experimental technology for this mission.

And, in an attempt to replicate the success that SpaceX has found reusing rocket boosters over the past decade, Blue Origin will also aim to guide New Glenn窶冱 first-stage rocket booster back to a safe landing on a seafaring platform 窶� named Jacklyn for Bezos窶� mother 窶� minutes after takeoff.

Like SpaceX, Blue Origin will seek to recover, refurbish and reuse first-stage rocket boosters to drive down costs.

For this inaugural mission, a smooth flight is not guaranteed.

But the eventual success of New Glenn, named after storied NASA astronaut John Glenn, is instrumental to some of Blue Origin窶冱 most ambitious goals.

The rocket could one day power national security launches, haul Amazon internet satellites to space and even help in the construction of a space station that Blue Origin is developing with commercial partners.

<1479444> Jerrymet

■2025年01月19日日曜日 13時13分58秒

Chile窶冱 President Boric leads journey to South Pole in historic trip
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Chile窶冱 President Gabriel Boric travelled to Antarctica窶冱 South Pole on Friday, a place where no other Latin American president has set foot, according to the Chilean government.

Boric led the historic two-day trip, named Operation Pole Star III, to extend the environmental monitoring of pollutants on Antarctica, Chile窶冱 government said in a statement.

He travelled with scientists, armed forces commanders and government ministers from the Chilean capital of Santiago to Punta Arenas, a city in southern Chile, public broadcaster Television Nacional de Chile (TVN) reported. From there, they made several stops before finally reaching the US-run Amundsen-Scott South Pole Station, according to TVN.
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Chile is one of seven countries that has a territorial claim in Antarctica, alongside Argentina, Australia, France, New Zealand, Norway and the United Kingdom.

It is also a signatory of the Antarctic Treaty, which dictates that the continent may only be used for peaceful and scientific purposes.

While Chile has historically carried out scientific activity in Antarctica窶冱 northern sector, the country窶冱 government is now hoping to expand research into the west of the continent, its statement said.
Boric called his trip to the South Pole an 窶徂onor窶� and a source of pride, TVN reported.

窶弋his is a milestone for us. It is the first time a Chilean and Latin American President has visited the South Pole,窶� he said, according to TVN.

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■2025年01月19日日曜日 12時55分13秒

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